According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, La Niña conditions persisted through February, but are expected to weaken significantly within the next month.
Forecasters indicate a transition to ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) neutral conditions is likely by late spring, with a 55% probability of neutral conditions continuing from May through July. While ocean-atmosphere patterns still reflect La Niña, warming subsurface temperatures and shifting wind patterns signal a gradual breakdown.
Looking ahead, models suggest El Niño could develop by summer, with a 62% chance of forming between June and August and persisting through the end of 2026. However, forecasters caution that the strength of any El Niño event remains uncertain at this time.
