A study conducted by rangeland specialists from the University of California Cooperative Extension (UCCE) and the University of California, Davis highlights proactive and reactive measures taken by ranchers during the 2012-16 drought in California.
Researchers initially sent the California Rangeland Decision-Making Survey to producer members of the California Cattlemen’s Association (CCA) in mid-2011. The survey was used to determine what external factors drive grazing management decisions, how ranchers receive and use informational resources, and rancher perspectives on adaptive grazing management.
In 2016, they followed up with interviews with CCA and California Wool Growers Association members to assess what measures ranchers took to deal with the drought.
Grace Woodmansee, UCCE livestock and natural resources adviser in Siskiyou County, told WLJ the 2011 survey was a starting point to see what ranchers experienced and how they adapted during the 2012-16 drought.
Cattle markets are adding to the holiday spirit as 2021 comes to a close. Optimism that has built in feeder cattle markets in the second half of the year has been enhanced and consolidated with the fed cattle market breaking out and moving sharply higher in the last two months of the year.
“We were interested in seeing if the (2012-16 drought) changed the way ranchers thought about drought management planning and if there were any opportunities, from a support agency perspective, to adapt the way we do our extension work or influence the way policy is developed and meet people after managing through such a severe event,” said Woodmansee.
The study found just over half of those surveyed and interviewed had a drought plan in place, indicating the need for aiding ranchers with developing a drought management plan.
“I think that definitely highlights the opportunity to have organizations like Cooperative Extension help ranchers get a written drought management plan of what works and doesn’t work for them as this increasingly severe drought takes place throughout the West,” Woodmansee said.
As California is not immune to drought, most survey respondents in 2011 stated they experienced reduced forage availability, increased expenses and reduced weaning weights due to previous droughts. Interviewees in 2016 reported the same challenges, but cattle producers stated the challenges were offset by higher cattle prices (sheep producers were not buffered).
The strategies adopted by ranchers participating in the 2011 survey and 2016 interview were very similar. Proactive practices focused on conserving forage and maintaining flexibility, and reactive practices focused on balancing forage supply and demand during drought years. According to the study, almost all ranchers reported using at least one reactive drought management practice in both 2011 and 2016, “indicating that reactive practices are key to drought management planning, particularly during multiyear, severe droughts. The greater number of reactive practices reported by 2016 interviewees also potentially indicates ranchers were adapting their drought management strategies by adopting a broader range of reactive practices to cope with intensifying drought conditions.” (See Figure 1.)
The study found a considerable increase in the number of ranchers incorporating proactive practice use between 2011 and 2016, both in terms of overall practice use and individual practice adoption. In 2011, 64 percent of surveyed ranchers reported using forward planning to mitigate drought impacts, and in 2016, 98 percent of interviewed ranchers were currently using at least one proactive practice. (See Figure 2.)
Woodmansee stated ranchers in 2011 had one proactive practice in place, versus 2016, when they had four proactive practices on average. In 2011, ranchers had three reactive practices versus six reactive practices in 2016.
The study found that an apparent increase in the use of proactive practices “may indicate underlying drought conditions leading into 2012 were a catalyst for proactive drought planning. It is likely the observed increases in proactive practice adoption between 2011 and 2016, in addition to reactive practice adoption, played a critical role in managing through severe, multiyear drought conditions.”
Researchers found ranchers are considering drought in their future management planning as they expect the climate to change in the future.
At the end of November, 69 percent of the U.S. was abnormally dry or worse with over 53 percent in some degree of drought (D1-D4), according to the Drought Monitor.
The study noted, “As the effects of climate-related disturbance become more frequent, drought must be integrated into all forward management planning to enhance both ranch and range resilience. Therefore, increasing management flexibility via a diversity of both proactive and reactive drought management practices will continue to be a critical component of building ranching and rangeland resilience, particularly during multiyear droughts.”
In response to the study, Woodmansee and co-author Dan Macon developed the Drought Strategies Decision Support Tool to assist ranchers with implementing drought plans.
“We’re learning more about how best to serve the ranching community with every drought experience we go through,” said Woodmansee. “One of the things we honed in on was how much the economic piece of individual management strategies influenced adoption. One of the things Dan and I worked on (with) the Drought Decision Support Tool really focuses on the economics.”
The tool is designed to create a drought management plan with ranch goals, proactive drought strategies and reactive strategies, including “critical dates” for making decisions, such as early weaning and selling livestock. The self-assessment tool is combined with Excel spreadsheets to help cattle and sheep ranchers analyze the costs and benefits of several key strategies.
The tool provides a 12-month planning calendar outlining forage source and projection, limiting factors, potential action and economic considerations. The spreadsheets are designed for sheep and cattle producers to evaluate early weaning, culling and full feeding decisions. To complete the worksheet, producers need to know the size of the animals and current prices and input costs.
While the tool and spreadsheets are broad, Woodmansee said they could be tailored to meet each specific operation with a one-on-one consultation with an Extension agent. She said while they have not made any changes to the tool since it was released in July, it may need to be tailored to each Extension agent’s county. Still, they are taking feedback from producers, particularly regarding the economic aspect of the tool.