According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, tropical Pacific atmospheric anomalies continued to indicate La Niña conditions in February.
However, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) neutral conditions are expected to develop within the next month and persist through the U.S. growing season, with a 62% probability for June through August. By fall, La Niña chances increase, with October-December projections split between neutral and La Niña, while El Niño remains less likely. ENSO forecasts made in spring are less reliable due to the spring predictability barrier.
The Australian Bureau of Meteorology also predicts ENSO-neutral conditions until at least July, aligning with international models.
