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Daily Update: May 9, 2008

 

CORN STOCKS EXPECTED TO REACH 13 YEAR-LOW—Corn stocks during the upcoming marketing year are expected to hit a 13 year-low according to USDA’s estimate released today. The decline comes mostly as a result of swapping acreage over to soybeans the agency said. The anticipated shift in crop plantings comes after soybeans prices hit record highs in March. Corn futures, however, traded slightly lower Friday on the Chicago Board of Trade, following a record close in the previous session as the projected drop in corn stocks had been widely expected by traders. Corn futures for July delivery were closed down 1 cent at $6.2925 a bushel. The contract had ended Thursday's session at $6.3025 a bushel, an all-time high. Corn futures have gained nearly 40 percent this year. USDA, in its monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand report, said corn stocks at the end of the 2009 crop season will fall 45 percent from a year ago to 763 million bushels, the lowest since 1996. For soybeans, stocks are likely to increase 28 percent to 185 million bushels. The corn and soybean crop season both ends on Aug. 31.

 
 

 

AMI PRESIDENT TESTIFIES BEFORE CONGRESS—The mandate by Congress to utilize a key food ingredient as the dominant input for biofuels has inextricably coupled food to fuel prices, driving up costs for consumers and affecting the economy, said AMI President and CEO J. Patrick Boyle in testimony submitted to the House Energy and Commerce Committee Subcommittee on Energy and Air Quality. "Valuing food for its energy content instead of nutrition is adding unnecessary inflationary pressure on the US economy," he said.
Boyle said that the goal of energy security is commendable and should be considered in relative context to risk posed to domestic and international food security. "Congressional and Administration leaders should develop and implement a plan to decouple the increasing price correlation of food from fuel," said Boyle. Boyle noted that, in 2007, livestock and poultry producers saw their feed prices rise by more than 65 percent and are anticipating an equally difficult environment for 2008. "Food to fuel mandates and subsidies have had a profound impact on the meat and poultry industry and its ability to source affordable feed," he added.Boyle pointed out that corn is one of the largest components in the diets of livestock and poultry. Swine rations often contain about 60-85 percent corn, poultry rations contain about 65-75 percent and beef animals often have diets averaging 35 to 65 percent shell corn - although some producers will feed 100 percent corn to beef animals as either shell corn, flaked, or silage. "As a result of a significant increase in ethanol production, animal nutritionists are being confronted with a new challenge in attempting to incorporate a significant amount of ethanol's byproduct or distillers grains into existing feed rations and maintaining meat and poultry quality and the economic well-being of the livestock and poultry producer," he said.

 

Profit Maker Bulls


FED CATTLE
—Trading was active in the South Plains today with good demand. Compared to last week live sales sold 2.00 higher at 94.00. Trading was light to moderate in the Northern Plains and Western Corn Belt with moderate demand. Dressed sales in Nebraska and Iowa/Minnesota sold 1.00 higher at 149.00 when compared to Thursday’s movement. Live sales in Nebraska and Colorado sold .50 to 1.00 higher at 94.00.
 

FEEDER CATTLE —Nationally last week, compared to the previous week, feeder calves and yearlings sold mostly 1.00-3.00 higher, with several auctions 2.00-4.00 higher than last week. Demand was good for all classes of feeders with aggressive bidding as in most cases this week weighing and flesh conditions were attractive. Several auctions reported heavier than expected runs this week the result of good demand and higher prices. We are several weeks into spring; the grass is here with fields too wet to plant corn, has resulted in good interest from farmer buyers. Much this spring is riding on the size of the corn and soybean crop and forage this summer as weather unfolds. Demand remains good on feeder cattle despite the cattle industry adjusting to the realities of higher feed cost, lingering draught in the southwest and feeding cattle in the biofuels era.


 

This Week's News: May 12, 2008

Sharp increases in food prices have many ethanol industry opponents questioning the benefit of corn-based ethanol production. Last week, members of Congress joined the fray, which could lead to an unravelling of the industry.


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