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Daily Update: May 9,
2008 |
CORN STOCKS EXPECTED TO REACH 13
YEAR-LOW—Corn stocks during the upcoming marketing year are expected to hit
a 13 year-low according to USDA’s estimate released today. The decline comes
mostly as a result of swapping acreage over to soybeans the agency said. The
anticipated shift in crop plantings comes after soybeans prices hit record highs
in March. Corn futures, however, traded slightly lower Friday on the Chicago
Board of Trade, following a record close in the previous session as the
projected drop in corn stocks had been widely expected by traders. Corn futures
for July delivery were closed down 1 cent at $6.2925 a bushel. The contract had
ended Thursday's session at $6.3025 a bushel, an all-time high. Corn futures
have gained nearly 40 percent this year. USDA, in its monthly World Agricultural
Supply and Demand report, said corn stocks at the end of the 2009 crop season
will fall 45 percent from a year ago to 763 million bushels, the lowest since
1996. For soybeans, stocks are likely to increase 28 percent to 185 million
bushels. The corn and soybean crop season both ends on Aug. 31.

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AMI PRESIDENT TESTIFIES BEFORE
CONGRESS—The mandate by Congress to utilize a key food ingredient as the
dominant input for biofuels has inextricably coupled food to fuel prices,
driving up costs for consumers and affecting the economy, said AMI President and
CEO J. Patrick Boyle in testimony submitted to the House Energy and Commerce
Committee Subcommittee on Energy and Air Quality. "Valuing food for its energy
content instead of nutrition is adding unnecessary inflationary pressure on the
US economy," he said.
Boyle said that the goal of energy security is commendable and should be
considered in relative context to risk posed to domestic and international food
security. "Congressional and Administration leaders should develop and implement
a plan to decouple the increasing price correlation of food from fuel," said
Boyle. Boyle noted that, in 2007, livestock and poultry producers saw their feed
prices rise by more than 65 percent and are anticipating an equally difficult
environment for 2008. "Food to fuel mandates and subsidies have had a profound
impact on the meat and poultry industry and its ability to source affordable
feed," he added.Boyle pointed out that corn is one of the largest components in
the diets of livestock and poultry. Swine rations often contain about 60-85
percent corn, poultry rations contain about 65-75 percent and beef animals often
have diets averaging 35 to 65 percent shell corn - although some producers will
feed 100 percent corn to beef animals as either shell corn, flaked, or silage.
"As a result of a significant increase in ethanol production, animal
nutritionists are being confronted with a new challenge in attempting to
incorporate a significant amount of ethanol's byproduct or distillers grains
into existing feed rations and maintaining meat and poultry quality and the
economic well-being of the livestock and poultry producer," he said.
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FED CATTLE —Trading was active in the
South Plains today with good demand. Compared to last week live sales sold 2.00
higher at 94.00. Trading was light to moderate in the Northern Plains and
Western Corn Belt with moderate demand. Dressed sales in Nebraska and
Iowa/Minnesota sold 1.00 higher at 149.00 when compared to Thursday’s movement.
Live sales in Nebraska and Colorado sold .50 to 1.00 higher at 94.00.
FEEDER CATTLE —Nationally last week, compared to the previous week,
feeder calves and yearlings sold mostly 1.00-3.00 higher, with several auctions
2.00-4.00 higher than last week. Demand was good for all classes of feeders with
aggressive bidding as in most cases this week weighing and flesh conditions were
attractive. Several auctions reported heavier than expected runs this week the
result of good demand and higher prices. We are several weeks into spring; the
grass is here with fields too wet to plant corn, has resulted in good interest
from farmer buyers. Much this spring is riding on the size of the corn and
soybean crop and forage this summer as weather unfolds. Demand remains good on
feeder cattle despite the cattle industry adjusting to the realities of higher
feed cost, lingering draught in the southwest and feeding cattle in the biofuels
era.

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This Week's News:
May 12, 2008 |

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Sharp increases in food prices have many ethanol industry
opponents questioning the benefit of corn-based ethanol production. Last week,
members of Congress joined the fray, which could lead to an unravelling of the
industry.
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